Larry Sabato senses a last-minute GOP drift in the Senate. "Suddenly, a 50-50 Senate (Republican-controlled) looks as likely as a 51-49 or 52-48 Democratic Senate." And TNR has collected several recent pieces into a "how the Democrats blew it page. Sabato and TNR are much closer to being insiders than I am and presumably have information I don't. But I'm sticking with: House GOP +2, Senate no change. UPDATE: Turns out that last minute GOP surge was real after all. Check out Kaus' funny pbservation that the NYT had the big story over the weekend but couldn't bear to believe it. But I won't gloat at the NYT, since I didn't believe it either. (Neither did Kaus, who blogged it yesterday as the "phantom surge."